Mortgage rates expected to rise ahead of autumn budget

The fall in mortgage rates may soon come to an “abrupt halt,” with predictions indicating that home loan costs could rise in the coming days.

In recent weeks, lenders have engaged in fierce competition for borrowers, resulting in a steady decrease in the interest rates associated with new fixed mortgage deals. This competitive environment has spurred increased activity among buyers and sellers in the UK housing market.

However, Coventry Building Society raised its mortgage rates on Friday, and other lenders are anticipated to follow suit shortly. Experts have pointed to Rachel Reeves’s repeated warnings that the upcoming October 30 Budget will entail “tough choices,” leaving markets feeling apprehensive. This unease is further fuelled by concerns over persistent inflation, sluggish interest rate reductions, and global tensions.

Impact on Borrowers

Approximately 1.6 million existing borrowers will see their relatively low fixed-rate deals expire this year. Hundreds of thousands of prospective first-time buyers are eager to secure their own homes with their first mortgage and would welcome continued low rates.

The interest rate on a fixed mortgage remains unchanged until the deal ends, typically after two or five years, at which point a new mortgage must be selected. A year ago, someone applying for a mortgage with a 40% deposit faced an average interest rate of 6.16% on a two-year fixed deal (according to Moneyfacts). By October of this year, that average rate had dropped to 4.84% (also from Moneyfacts).

This decrease can be attributed to competition among lenders and the Bank of England’s first interest rate cut in four years in July. However, this positive trend is now expected to come to a sudden stop.

If you’re currently in the process of applying for a mortgage, consider asking your mortgage advisor to switch your product to the cheapest option your lender is offering, as these products are likely to be withdrawn in the coming days.